Tropical Depression DALILA
ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013
800 PM PDT FRI JUL 05 2013
DALILA NOW CONSISTS OF A SMALL...BUT WELL-DEFINED...SWIRL OF LOW
CLOUDS AS SEEN IN THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGES FROM THE GEOSTATIONARY
SATELLITE. SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN DISSIPATED SINCE
ABOUT 18Z WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAINING. BECAUSE OF
INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR INDUCED BY TROPICAL STORM ERICK AND A
COOLER MORE STABLE AIRMASS...LONG-LASTING DEEP CONVECTION IN DALILA
IS NOT LIKELY TO MAKE A COMEBACK. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SHORTLY AND THEN GRADUALLY WIND DOWN OVER
THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
DALILA IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...AS THE EASTERLY
STEERING FLOW IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE IS QUITE WEAK. THIS GENERAL
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS
BASED UPON THE MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE AND IS JUST NORTH OF THE TRACK
FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0300Z 17.1N 112.6W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 17.1N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 07/0000Z 17.1N 113.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 07/1200Z 17.1N 113.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/0000Z 17.2N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 09/0000Z 17.5N 115.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
NNNN