Tropical Depression DALILA

ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
800 PM PDT THU JUL 04 2013
 
DALILA CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW
INTERMITTENT PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION. GIVEN THE SATELLITE
PRESENTATION AND EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY
HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE PROBABLY CONFINED TO
AREAS OF CONVECTION. 

DALILA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT OF HIGH SHEAR
AND STABLE AIR...AND MOST LIKELY THE CYCLONE WILL BECOME A REMANT
LOW IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. IT WOULD NOT BE A SURPRISE IF A FEW MORE
ROUNDS OF DEEP CONVECTION REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER...AS DALILA
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...AND BEFORE
THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES.  

  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/0300Z 17.3N 111.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  05/1200Z 17.5N 111.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  06/0000Z 17.7N 112.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/1200Z 17.8N 113.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  07/0000Z 18.0N 114.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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