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Tropical Storm INGRID


ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 13 2013
 
...INGRID STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND BEGIN MOVING NORTHWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 95.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. INGRID IS
CURRENTLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER...A NORTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A FASTER MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY EARLY SUNDAY...AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST BY LATE SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...INGRID WILL
BE VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND APPROACH THE COAST IN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND INGRID IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY. 
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A JOINT U.S. EPA AND MEXICAN GOVERNMENT WEATHER
STATION IN VERACRUZ HARBOR RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 41
MPH...66 KM/H. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25
INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE
RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF
THE COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY
LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY
MORNING.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:03 UTC