Tropical Storm INGRID

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  95.0W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  95.0W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  95.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N  95.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.5N  95.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.2N  96.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.4N  97.7W...NEAR COAST OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.5N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  95.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN