Tropical Storm ERIN

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052013
0300 UTC FRI AUG 16 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  29.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  29.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  28.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.3N  31.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N  33.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.6N  35.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.6N  37.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.5N  41.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 21.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 22.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  29.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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