Tropical Storm CHANTAL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032013
800 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013
 
...CHANTAL MOST LIKELY A TROPICAL WAVE...
...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE TO VERIFY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.5N 70.8W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL. 

IF THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE VERIFIES THAT CHANTAL HAS DEGENERATED
INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
WILL BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. CHANTAL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT.  IF CHANTAL REMAINS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.  ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR TO THE SOUTH OF
HISPANIOLA TODAY...AND OVER EASTERN CUBA ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...IF
CHANTAL DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY WESTWARD. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AREAS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS EN ROUTE TO
DETERMINE THE STATUS OF CHANTAL. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
THIS MORNING...AND HAITI LATER TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS
AND CAICOS TONIGHT...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY
EARLY THURSDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS WAVES...WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA.
 
RAINFALL...CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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