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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression TWO


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
400 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.3N 91.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SSW OF CARMEN MEXICO
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM E OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE ON WEDNESDAY AND REACH THE COAST ON THE STATE OF VERACRUZ
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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