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Tropical Storm ROSA


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TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172012
1500 UTC THU NOV 01 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 118.4W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 118.4W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 118.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.8N 118.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.6N 118.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.4N 118.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.5N 118.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 118.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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