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Post-Tropical Cyclone PAUL


ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162012
200 PM PDT WED OCT 17 2012
 
...PAUL DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 115.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.3 WEST.  THE
CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.  THE CENTER
OF THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE COMPLETELY THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF PAUL ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 INCH OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAUL.  
 
SURF...SWELLS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
AND THE COAST OF SINALOA SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PAUL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.


 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:43 UTC