Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm KRISTY


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 16 2012
 
A 0955 UTC AMSU-B MICROWAVE OVERPASS INDICATED THAT THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF WHAT REMAINS
OF THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY...
HOWEVER...REMAINS AT 35 KT BASED ON THE SUBJECTIVE SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND A RECENT AMSU-A
UW-CIMSS INTENSITY ESTIMATE. KRISTY SHOULD BECOME A DEPRESSION
LATER TODAY AS IT REMAINS SEPARATED FROM THE CONVECTION AND
CONTINUES TO TRAVERSE SSTS OF 22-23C. DEGENERATION INTO A REMNANT
LOW IS FORECAST IN 24 HOURS.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/8...A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST ON MONDAY AS A SHALLOW...WEAK SYSTEM...THEN DRIFT
NORTHEASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING IN 3 DAYS OR LESS.  THE NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASED ON THE TVCE MODEL CONSENSUS AND IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  16/1500Z 24.5N 117.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  17/0000Z 25.3N 118.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  17/1200Z 26.1N 118.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  18/0000Z 26.8N 118.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  18/1200Z 27.2N 118.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:33 UTC