Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILIA


ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052012
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012
 
ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS LINGER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...THIS
ACTIVITY IS NOT CONSIDERED SUFFICIENTLY ORGANIZED TO MAINTAIN
EMILIA AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN FACT...THE CYCLONE HAS LACKED
ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST 12 HOURS. EMILIA IS
THEREFORE CLASSIFIED AS A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW WITH AN
INITIAL WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF 30 KT.
 
THE REMNANT LOW OF EMILIA HAS GAINED SOME FORWARD SPEED...AND THE
LATEST INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/16. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 4 DAYS AS THE WEAKENING
SYSTEM REMAINS IN THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
SHOWS THE REMNANT LOW DISSIPATING IN 4 TO 5 DAYS...BUT THIS COULD
OCCUR SOONER AS SUGGESTED BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS.
 
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
EMILIA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/1500Z 15.6N 138.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  16/0000Z 15.5N 140.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  16/1200Z 15.4N 143.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  17/0000Z 15.3N 146.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  17/1200Z 15.2N 149.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  18/1200Z 15.0N 155.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  19/1200Z 15.0N 161.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:18 UTC