Hurricane DANIEL

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HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042012
2100 UTC SUN JUL 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 125.0W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 125.0W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 124.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.3N 127.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.6N 129.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.7N 132.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.8N 136.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 148.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.0N 153.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 125.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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