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Tropical Storm CARLOTTA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
500 AM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012
 
...CARLOTTA WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.2N 99.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM NE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF
PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.3 WEST. CARLOTTA
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS
MOTION FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CARLOTTA OR ITS REMNANTS WILL REMAIN INLAND OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO HAS TAKEN A TOLL ON CARLOTTA AND THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING SOUTHEAST
OF THE CENTER WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA AND ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW...MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
RAINFALL...CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...100 TO 200 MM...THROUGH MONDAY
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...375 MM...ARE POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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