Tropical Storm CARLOTTA

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
1100 PM PDT THU JUN 14 2012
 
...CARLOTTA NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...12.8N 95.0W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO CABO
CORRIENTES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOTTA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST.
CARLOTTA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CARLOTTA
SHOULD MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CARLOTTA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER. RECENT RADAR IMAGES SHOW A STRONG RAINBAND IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THIS
RAINBAND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE HEAVY SQUALLS LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
RAINFALL...CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...75 TO 125 MM...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 12 INCHES...250 TO 300 MM...OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO...OAXACA...CHIAPAS...AS WELL AS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF GUATEMALA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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