Tropical Storm CARLOTTA

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
200 AM PDT FRI JUN 15 2012
 
...CARLOTTA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY AS IT
CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...13.2N 95.3W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WEST OF ACAPULCO TO CABO
CORRIENTES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOTTA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST. CARLOTTA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CARLOTTA SHOULD MOVE NEAR OR OVER
THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND CARLOTTA IS FORECAST TO BECOME
A HURRICANE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SHIP LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF CARLOTTA
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH...61 KM/H.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
RAINFALL...CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...75 TO 125 MM...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...300 MM...OVER THE MEXICAN STATES
OF GUERRERO...OAXACA...AND CHIAPAS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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