ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032012 200 PM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012 THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY NEAR 25 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT. THE DEPRESSION IS STILL ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THE CENTER...ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO FIND...APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 4 KNOTS. THE STEERING FLOW HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN...AND THE DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY MOVE LITTLE FOR A DAY OR SO UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/2100Z 17.9N 99.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 17/0600Z 18.0N 100.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 17/1800Z 18.0N 101.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 18/0600Z 18.0N 101.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:11 UTC