ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL CCA TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032012 800 AM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012 CORRECTED TO REFLECT DISSIPATION AT 72 HR THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO HAS DISRUPTED THE CLOUD PATTERN OF CARLOTTA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE WINDS ARE DECREASING RAPIDLY. HOWEVER...THE DEPRESSION IS STILL ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS AND A FEW SQUALLS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THE CENTER...ALTHOUGH DIFFICULT TO FIND...APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. THE STEERING FLOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND THE DEPRESSION OR ITS REMANTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY. THE SYSTEM MOST LIKELY WILL MEANDER OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A FEW DAYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/1500Z 17.5N 99.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 17/0000Z 18.0N 101.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 17/1200Z 18.0N 101.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 18/0000Z 18.0N 101.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 18/1200Z 18.0N 101.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:11 UTC