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Hurricane BUD


ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BUD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
500 AM PDT THU MAY 24 2012
 
...BUD STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 107.0W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTO SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTO SAN TELMO WESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST. BUD IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND THIS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BUD IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO LATE FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  BUD IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST TODAY.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY
FRIDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BY LATE
FRIDAY.
 
RAINFALL...BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE
STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO...AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT...
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO TODAY.  THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:07 UTC