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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012               
0300 UTC MON OCT 29 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       1       9      37      56      63
TROP DEPRESSION  X       1       7      30      42      31      18
TROPICAL STORM  49      40      64      55      21      12      11
HURRICANE       51      59      29       6       X       2       9
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       47      48      25       6       X       1       6
HUR CAT 2        3       8       4       X       X       X       2
HUR CAT 3        1       2       1       X       X       X       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   65KT    70KT    60KT    45KT    30KT    25KT    25KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)
AUGUSTA ME     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   6(14)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
PORTLAND ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X  15(15)   8(23)   1(24)   X(24)   2(26)   3(29)
CONCORD NH     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X  29(29)   5(34)   1(35)   X(35)   1(36)   3(39)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
BOSTON MA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  1  37(38)   3(41)   X(41)   1(42)   X(42)   2(44)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  6  39(45)   2(47)   X(47)   X(47)   1(48)   1(49)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  1  41(42)   5(47)   1(48)   X(48)   1(49)   1(50)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X  44(44)  10(54)   1(55)   X(55)   1(56)   1(57)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  7  49(56)   6(62)   X(62)   X(62)   1(63)   X(63)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  6  61(67)  16(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X  26(26)  19(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
NEW YORK CITY  64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  2  59(61)  22(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
NEWARK NJ      50  X  19(19)  26(45)   X(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
NEWARK NJ      64  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  3  60(63)  27(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
TRENTON NJ     50  X  23(23)  43(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
TRENTON NJ     64  X   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 11  70(81)  14(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X  56(56)  27(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   7( 7)  24(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X  42(42)  39(81)   2(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)
BALTIMORE MD   50  X   4( 4)  45(49)   3(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
BALTIMORE MD   64  X   X( X)  15(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
DOVER DE       34  8  61(69)  23(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
DOVER DE       50  X  32(32)  39(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
DOVER DE       64  X   3( 3)  26(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  1  46(47)  33(80)   2(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50  X   6( 6)  42(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
ANNAPOLIS MD   64  X   X( X)  16(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X  34(34)  37(71)   3(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
WASHINGTON DC  50  X   1( 1)  32(33)   3(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
WASHINGTON DC  64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 17  64(81)   9(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X  49(49)  16(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  X  12(12)  16(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  1  23(24)  18(42)   2(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
RICHMOND VA    50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
RICHMOND VA    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 12  26(38)   9(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 13  26(39)   8(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 17  54(71)  10(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
WALLOPS CDA    50  X  29(29)  16(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
WALLOPS CDA    64  X   5( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  9   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:56 UTC