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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012               
0300 UTC SAT OCT 27 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       1       1       2      15      33
TROP DEPRESSION  1       5       9       6       7      28      35
TROPICAL STORM  68      75      69      51      47      50      26
HURRICANE       31      19      21      43      44       7       6
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       29      17      17      32      32       5       5
HUR CAT 2        1       2       3       7       9       1       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       1       3       3       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       1       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   60KT    55KT    55KT    65KT    70KT    45KT    35KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   4(16)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  13(19)   3(22)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  11(24)   3(27)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  12(27)   2(29)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  16(29)   2(31)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  20(32)   3(35)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
HARTFORD CT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  19(39)   3(42)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)  30(49)   3(52)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   2(17)
NEW YORK CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  31(46)   3(49)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   1(15)
NEWARK NJ      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  32(48)   4(52)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   2(16)
TRENTON NJ     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)  32(57)   3(60)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  19(23)   2(25)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  29(39)   5(44)
BALTIMORE MD   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)
BALTIMORE MD   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)  30(50)   5(55)
DOVER DE       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   3(21)
DOVER DE       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  28(40)   5(45)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)
ANNAPOLIS MD   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  24(34)   6(40)
WASHINGTON DC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)
WASHINGTON DC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)  27(55)   4(59)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  17(22)   3(25)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  15(26)   3(29)
RICHMOND VA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
RICHMOND VA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  16(19)  13(32)   3(35)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)
NORFOLK NAS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)  12(32)   3(35)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)
NORFOLK VA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)  23(48)   4(52)
WALLOPS CDA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   1(20)
WALLOPS CDA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   9(14)  12(26)   3(29)   1(30)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   7(17)   2(19)   X(19)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
MAYPORT NS     34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MIAMI FL       34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ANDROS         34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:56 UTC