Hurricane SANDY

ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
2100 UTC MON OCT 29 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HOWEVER...THERE ARE NON-TROPICAL HIGH-WIND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST
BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS. THIS
INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT... THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE BAY...AND THE COASTS OF
THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND RHODE ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  74.4W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  24 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  80SE 150SW   0NW.
50 KT.......170NE 150SE 200SW 150NW.
34 KT.......420NE 370SE 400SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..660NE 995SE 660SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  74.4W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  73.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 39.8N  76.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...400NE 370SE 200SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 40.4N  78.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...400NE 370SE 150SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 41.3N  78.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...360NE 360SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 42.8N  77.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 45.1N  75.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 46.3N  72.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 47.5N  65.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N  74.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN