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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
1500 UTC THU OCT 25 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO.
 
THE TROPICAL WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  75.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  75.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  75.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.4N  75.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.2N  76.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.4N  76.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 140SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 28.9N  76.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...250NE 180SE 220SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 32.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...340NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 36.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 39.5N  73.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  75.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:53 UTC