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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE SANDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
0900 UTC THU OCT 25 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA
COAST FROM FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
* THE RAGGED ISLANDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* FLORIDA UPPER KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY
* FLORIDA BAY
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  75.8W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 360SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  75.8W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  75.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.1N  75.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.4N  76.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.8N  76.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE  90SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 28.1N  76.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT...250NE 160SE 140SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 31.2N  73.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 34.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 37.5N  70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  75.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:53 UTC