Hurricane MICHAEL

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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  42.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  42.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  42.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.9N  43.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.0N  44.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 34.6N  46.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N  47.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 45.5N  45.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  42.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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