Hurricane MICHAEL

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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  42.1W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  42.1W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  42.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 33.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.4N  42.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.6N  43.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.8N  45.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 38.2N  48.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 48.0N  47.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  42.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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