Hurricane MICHAEL

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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  41.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  41.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  41.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.8N  41.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.3N  42.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N  42.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 33.6N  43.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.4N  45.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 42.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 52.5N  43.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  41.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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