Hurricane MICHAEL

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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0900 UTC THU SEP 06 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  41.7W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  41.7W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  42.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.3N  41.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.9N  41.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.4N  41.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 33.1N  43.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 34.5N  44.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 36.0N  45.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  41.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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