Tropical Storm MICHAEL

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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
130 PM AST WED SEP 05 2012
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MICHAEL HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH A EYE FEATURE INDICATED IN
MICROWAVE OVERPASSES AND A FORMATIVE EYE IN VISIBLE IMAGERY. BASED
ON THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO
55 KT AND MICHAEL IS NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN 12
HOURS. THE INCREASED INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITY IS THE BASIS
FOR THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY.

MICHAEL HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY.  CONSEQUENTLY...THE 12 AND 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS
HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED A LITTLE EASTWARD.  NO ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TRACK FORECAST.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/1730Z 28.5N  42.9W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  06/0000Z 29.0N  42.3W   65 KT  75 MPH
 24H  06/1200Z 29.7N  42.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  07/0000Z 30.3N  42.3W   75 KT  85 MPH
 48H  07/1200Z 31.0N  42.9W   75 KT  85 MPH
 72H  08/1200Z 32.1N  44.2W   75 KT  85 MPH
 96H  09/1200Z 33.3N  45.2W   70 KT  80 MPH
120H  10/1200Z 34.7N  46.3W   65 KT  75 MPH
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
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