Tropical Storm LESLIE

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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
1500 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  62.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  62.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE   0SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.3N  60.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 40.2N  59.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 46.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 160SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 58.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 62.0N  20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...MERGED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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