Tropical Storm LESLIE

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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
2100 UTC FRI SEP 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  62.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE  80SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  62.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  62.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N  62.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  80SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.8N  62.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  80SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 30.2N  62.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.8N  61.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 47.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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