Tropical Storm LESLIE

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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  46.8W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  46.8W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  45.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.7N  51.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.9N  54.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 29.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  46.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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