Tropical Storm LESLIE

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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
2100 UTC THU AUG 30 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  45.3W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  45.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  44.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.3N  47.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.5N  50.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.7N  53.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  56.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 22.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 28.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  45.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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