Tropical Storm JOYCE

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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102012
2100 UTC THU AUG 23 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  42.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......200NE   0SE   0SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  42.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  42.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.1N  45.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N  47.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.0N  50.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.1N  54.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.3N  60.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 30.8N  63.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N  60.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  42.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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