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Tropical Storm DEBBY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042012               
1500 UTC TUE JUN 26 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       2       9      16      24      27      26      28
TROP DEPRESSION 39      48      41      38      27      22      21
TROPICAL STORM  57      41      41      35      41      44      41
HURRICANE        1       2       3       3       5       8      10
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       2       3       3       5       7       9
HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       1       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   35KT    35KT    30KT    30KT    35KT    40KT    45KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  1   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
MAYPORT NS     34  2   4( 6)   6(12)   4(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)
MAYPORT NS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  3   3( 6)   6(12)   4(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  5   9(14)   9(23)   4(27)   3(30)   X(30)   1(31)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
DAYTONA BEACH  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  8  13(21)   7(28)   4(32)   1(33)   1(34)   X(34)
ORLANDO FL     50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  4   7(11)   8(19)   4(23)   3(26)   X(26)   1(27)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  4   7(11)   8(19)   4(23)   2(25)   1(26)   1(27)
PATRICK AFB    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  3   5( 8)   5(13)   4(17)   2(19)   1(20)   1(21)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   1(12)
 
MIAMI FL       34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
MARATHON FL    34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  3   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  5   5(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
VENICE FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
TAMPA FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TAMPA FL       50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  6   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  9   2(11)   2(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  8   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 11   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   1(11)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:12 UTC