Hurricane KENNETH

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HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
0300 UTC TUE NOV 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 111.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  60SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  75SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 111.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 111.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.0N 113.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  10SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.1N 115.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  15SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.4N 117.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  15SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  60SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 15.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 16.0N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 111.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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