Tropical Storm IRWIN
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TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011
1500 UTC SUN OCT 09 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.8W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.8W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.5N 118.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.8N 117.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.8N 116.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.5N 114.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.8N 111.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.6N 107.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 119.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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