Hurricane IRWIN
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HURRICANE IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011
0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 119.8W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 119.8W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 119.6W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 14.1N 120.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.4N 120.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.4N 119.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.4N 119.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 15.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 16.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 119.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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