Tropical Storm JOVA

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TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOVA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 180SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 110.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.0N 109.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N 108.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 105SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 105SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  70SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE 135SE 105SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.3N 105.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  65SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE 135SE 105SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 21.5N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 110.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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