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Tropical Storm HILARY (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM HILARY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 21 2011
 
...HILARY CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 97.6W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF PUNTO MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA MEXICO WESTWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 

 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48
HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CORE OF HILARY WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO BUT ANY DEVIATION TO
THE NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE COAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AND HILARY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
WARNING AREA THURSDAY...AND THEN SPREAD WESTWARD ALONG THE COAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
RAINFALL...HILARY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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