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Hurricane HILARY


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BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011
 
...HILARY TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.4N 117.7W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.7 WEST.  HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H....AND A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HILARY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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