Hurricane HILARY

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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 116.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE  90SE 160SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 116.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 116.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N 117.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.9N 117.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 117.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.2N 117.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 27.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 116.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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