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Hurricane DORA


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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DORA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
800 PM PDT THU JUL 21 2011
 
...DORA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN BUT STILL A DANGEROUS HURRICANE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 108.1W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST.  DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DORA WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REACH PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY
NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  DORA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE RAPID DECREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  SWELLS WILL
BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATER TONIGHT.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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