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Hurricane DORA (Text)

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DORA ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
800 AM PDT THU JUL 21 2011
 
...DORA NEARLY A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.1N 106.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.43 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK DORA IS EXPECTED TO STAY WELL
OFFSHORE OF MEXICO.
 
SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO 155 MPH...250 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  DORA IS A
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME
WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN BY TONIGHT...AND A RAPID WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 929 MB...27.43 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  SWELLS WILL
BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
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