Hurricane DORA
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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
1500 UTC THU JUL 21 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DORA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 160SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 106.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 106.5W
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.1N 108.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.1N 109.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 110.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 24.4N 117.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 26.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 106.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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