Tropical Storm BEATRIZ

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
500 AM PDT MON JUN 20 2011
 
...RAINBANDS FROM BEATRIZ SPREADING ONTO THE COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.0N 102.8W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO
* FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST.  BEATRIZ IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA BY LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
BEATRIZ IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.  AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE BEATRIZ LATER TODAY AND PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF
ITS STRENGTH.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.  TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF JALISCO...COLIMA
...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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