| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm BEATRIZ (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
800 AM PDT MON JUN 20 2011
 
...BEATRIZ A LITTLE STRONGER...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 102.9W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO
* FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.9 WEST. BEATRIZ IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITH SOME
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND BEATRIZ IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE BEATRIZ LATER TODAY AND PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF
ITS STRENGTH.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO...
JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
NNNN