Tropical Storm BEATRIZ

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TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
0900 UTC MON JUN 20 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM
NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF
ZIHUATANEJO...AND FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 102.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 102.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.6N 103.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.6N 104.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.7N 104.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.4N 105.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.2N 109.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.2N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.2N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 102.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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