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Hurricane RINA


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011
0900 UTC TUE OCT 25 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO
CANCUN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA
TO CANCUN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA
GRUESA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  83.6W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  83.6W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  83.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.4N  84.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.8N  85.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.3N  86.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.3N  86.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.5N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 22.5N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  83.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 17-Jul-2012 13:44:10 UTC