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Hurricane PHILIPPE (Text)

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HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  58.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 65NE  65SE  75SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  58.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  58.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.9N  56.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.1N  53.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.7N  49.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 37.3N  46.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 42.0N  43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 225NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 47.9N  38.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 58.0N  30.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  58.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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