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Hurricane OPHELIA


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BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  42A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011
 
...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 56.5W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 43 MPH...69 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 43 MPH...69 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA SHOULD BE A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT PASSES OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA. OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH
OF THE CENTER. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA THIS MORNING.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
 
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